AFRICANEWS-Kenya Election Watch

 

A monthly publication of AFRICANEWS

 

For the period covering August 15-September 15, 2002

Previous issue

 

 

Contents

 

Part I: Analysis

1. Survey reveals voting patterns, attitudes

2. Transition in jeopardy

3. Mungiki: outlawed cult becomes a strong political force

 

Part II: Events

1. Glossary of terms

2. Chronology

 

 

Part I: Analysis

 

1. Survey reveals voting patterns, attitudes

 

By Zachary Ochieng

 

As Kenyans prepare for the country’s third multiparty polls, it is interesting to note that a number of people are members of political parties.

 

This finding is among a number of attitudes, voting patterns, and other election behaviours revealed in a baseline survey jointly conducted by Strategy &Tactics, Research International East Africa (both research consultancy firms), and PriceWaterhouseCoopers, a leading management consultancy firm.

 

Titled “Kenya: State of the Nation,” the survey’s terms of reference called for coverage of all districts in Kenya, as well as a representative sample of the administrative divisions in Kenya. Consultation around the actual sample was held with relevant stakeholders, especially the Ministry of Planning’s Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS ) department..

 

Over 8,000 interviews were conducted for the survey. Each province and district had a minimum of 500 and 100 respondents respectively, who were selected by a random sampling methodology. The survey compared respondents in terms of provinces they came from, their age groups, social status, and whether they were urban or rural respondents. Comparison was also done in terms of gender.

 

To further emphasise the reliability and validity of data collected, the age, gender, and area of distribution of the sample closely resembles that of the population as a whole according to the latest census results. The survey’s aim was to gauge the level of knowledge and awareness among the respondents and highlight which areas are to be targeted for civic and voter education ahead of the general election slated for December of this year.

 

According to the report, which was released in July 2002, 45 percent of the respondents belonged to a political party. However, membership is unevenly distributed. Men are considerably more likely than women to belong to a party. Interestingly however, rural respondents are more likely to belong to a party than their urban counterparts.

 

Membership is also uneven across the eight provinces. Rift Valley respondents are more likely to belong to a party (61 percent), while those from Coast Province (27 percent) are least likely to do so.

 

The report states that two-thirds of the respondents strongly agreed that an effective opposition is an essential component of democracy, which means that there is broad support for multiparty democracy in Kenya. It is also noteworthy that the support for a strong opposition is highest among the better off. Men (72 percent) were considerably more likely than women (63 percent) to agree with the need for a strong opposition. Support for a strong opposition was highest among respondents from Coast Province (83 percent), Central (79 percent) and Nyanza (74 percent). It was lowest among respondents from North Eastern Province (37 percent).

 

Support for multipartyism also increases proportionate to education. Just 56 percent of those with no formal education agreed that a strong opposition was important. The support, however, rose to 80 percent for those with post-secondary school education.

 

The report further adds that 91 percent of the respondents supported the notion that voting for the party of their choice was the essence of democracy. The support had no gender differences. Again, the overwhelming majority of respondents agreed that voting is important and should be conducted through secret ballot. But in North Eastern Province, only 69 percent of the respondents agreed that voting should be secret and private, while 23 percent of the respondents rejected the idea.

 

The report also notes that three-quarters of the respondents (72 percent) believed that people are motivated to vote for individuals, not parties.

 

When asked about the previous general election, 71 percent of the respondents said they had voted, while 29 percent said they had not done so. Men (76 percent) were more likely than women (66 percent) to have voted during the last general election according to the survey results. Respondents from Nairobi were significantly less likely to have voted than those from the other seven provinces, with only 51 percent of the respondents having voted. This figure rose to 68 percent in Coast Province as in Central and was above 70 percent in the rest of the provinces.

 

Significantly, according to the report, voting declines as education rises. Eighty-four percent of the respondents with no formal education had voted at the last general election as compared to 77 percent of respondents with post-secondary education. The survey results also indicate that provinces with large urban areas were the ones with high levels of non-participation at the last general elections.

 

With respect to this general election, 83 percent of the respondents said that they would participate. However, almost one in 10 said that they would not vote. Again, this was high among respondents in Nairobi, where 74 percent of urban respondents said they would vote as compared to 84 percent of rural respondents.

 

Younger respondents were also more likely to vote: 715 of respondents falling within the18-25 age bracket said that they would vote. This figure declined as age increased. It is also worth noting that poorer respondents are more likely to vote at the forthcoming general election than their better off counterparts. Eighty-four percent of the poorest of the poor said that they would vote as compared to 78 percent from more affluent classes. Gender differentials were also noted as 87 percent of the men said they would vote as compared to 80 percent of the women.

 

The survey also tested the extent to which respondents could vote for a woman or a person with a disability. According to the report, more than half of the respondents said they would vote for a woman or a person with a disability, however more indicated that they would support a woman before they would a person with disability.

 

Respondents’ attitudes towards political leaders were also revealed in the survey. Overall, leaders at all levels of Kenyan society enjoyed the confidence of more than half of the respondents. Confidence is highest for the presidency, with 65 percent, followed by local leaders and elders at 64 percent. Respondents had the lowest confidence in their Members of Parliament (51 percent) and councillors (53 percent). Sixty-one percent of the respondents said that they had confidence in their local chief. The report notes that across every leadership category, the poorest of the poor consistently expressed the highest levels of confidence. As poverty decreases, dissatisfaction rises.

 

Overall, there were few significant differences between male and female respondents. Men were slightly more likely than women to express mistrust. However, urban and rural respondents have very different attitudes towards leaders. In every instance, urban respondents had significantly lower confidence in their leaders than their rural counterparts.

 

With this report, voter educators should find it easier to pick out areas that need targeting, as well as cater for the gender and age group in dire need of voter education.

ENDS

 

 

2. Transition in jeopardy

 

By Zachary Ochieng

 

Because Kenya’s first president Mzee Jomo Kenyatta died in office, this will be the first time an incumbent president is going to hand over power to an incoming one. This unprecedented transition in post-independent Kenya may not be a smooth one if current developments within the ruling party KANU are anything to go by.

 

The party is now divided more than ever before, thanks to the pressure being mounted by the Rainbow Alliance. The alliance is a group of KANU MPs who are opposed to the way President Moi has picked – and is pushing for – his preferred successor, the former president’s son, Uhuru Kenyatta. The Rainbow Alliance, however, seems to be fighting a losing battle as Moi’s support for Uhuru remains unstinted. 

 

In an unprecedented move seen by many observers as dictatorial, President Moi has opted to silence his critics by sacking them and their key allies. The most shocking and high profile dismissal was the firing of Vice President George Saitoti, who had earlier declared his candidature for the KANU presidential nominations.

 

“I have never heard of any country in the world where a vice president is fired because he has expressed interest in the presidency,” said Saitoti, adding that in any country where democracy is cherished, a vice president has the first count and even if he did not, he is allowed to seek nomination.

 

KANU insiders say the alliance members were sacked to prevent them from attending the Delegates Conference that will nominate the party’s flag bearer. The president may resort to the infamous disciplinary committee like the one used to silence critics in the 1980s. Part VII of the New KANU Constitution states: “There shall be a KANU Disciplinary Committee whose composition shall be determined by the national chairman in consultation with the National Executive Council (NEC).”

 

But since there are only 15 Rainbow Alliance members on the NEC as opposed to 23 members who are supporting Kenyatta, President Moi can take advantage of this to suspend the Rainbow members, effectively shutting them out of the Delegates Conference. Section 2(C) of the KANU Constitution, which says that NEC’s decision on suspension is final, would then drive the final nail in Rainbow’s coffin.

 

But the upshot of all this is that the party is now reeling under an internal power struggle, with no end in sight. Ordinary party members view Moi’s actions as a perpetuation of dictatorship. “There is no difference between now and the eighties when the president resorted to expelling his critics,” observes party member John Marende.

 

The country could be at a cross roads, courtesy of a looming vote of no confidence. Nominated MP Prof. Peter Anyang Nyongo (SDP) has filed a notice of intention to table a vote of no confidence in the government when Parliament resumes on October 1. With the ruling party almost falling apart, the outcome of this motion could be disastrous.

 

But President Moi’s support for Kenyatta seems relentless. On August 22, the president broke from a tradition upheld over the last 23 years by attending Mzee Jomo Kenyatta’s memorial service at the Presbyterian Church of East Africa (PCEA) – an African Independent Church – instead of the Catholic Church’s Holy Family Basilica.

 

Early this month, President Moi, in a show of might, mobilized 20 Cabinet ministers, 66 MPs, and a number of civil servants to attend a campaign rally for Kenyatta in Nakuru. The publicly funded Kenya Broadcasting Corporation (KBC) aired a live broadcast of the event, to the chagrin of members of the alliance, the opposition, and civil society.

 

Despite a spirited fight by the Rainbow Alliance, the lingering question now is: how long will it survive? Analysts contend that with Kenyatta’s nomination almost a forgone conclusion, Rainbow members are fighting a losing battle.

 

The alliance first suffered a terrible blow last month with the sacking of Assistant Minister Fred Gumo and Environment Minster Joseph Kamotho. A few days later, Assistant Minister for Education Mathews Adams Karauri – a strong Saitoti ally – resigned and crossed over to Simon Nyachae’s FORD-People. Saitoti’s sacking then followed.

 

But the worst moment came when Transport and Communications Minister Musalia Mudavadi quit the alliance, renounced his presidential ambitions, and vowed to back Kenyatta. Analysts argue that as part of Moi’s game plan to destabilize the alliance, he promised Mudavadi the vacant position of vice president.

 

When all is said and done, the remaining presidential contenders in the alliance cannot take the fight too far. Energy Minister Raila Odinga, who is the mastermind of the alliance, insists he will fight within KANU. Observers say he knows he has already lost the battle but does not want to back out lest he annoys the former NDP MPs and his supporters. Chances are that he might decamp to the opposition or pick on another moribund party as he did in 1997 and vie for the presidency on that party’s ticket.

 

Saitoti has also vowed to fight on. Interestingly, FORD-People presidential aspirant Simeon Nyachae visited Saitoti at the latter’s residence in Lavington immediately after his sacking. Saitoti, however, denied that he was intending to defect to the opposition.

 

One thing, however, is certain. The former vice president is President Moi’s creation; it is therefore doubted whether Saitoti can call the shots on his own. He lacks grassroots support and is often fought within his own political backyard. He could just as well be headed for political oblivion.

 

Kalonzo Musyoka, although seen as a weaker member of the alliance, has also vowed to soldier on. Speculations are rife that the president is luring him with the vice presidency so as to further destabilize the alliance. Should he succumb, the alliance is likely to crumble. He is unlikely to defect to the opposition because his Mwingi constituents have always been staunch KANU supporters.

 

CKRC ordered to stop its work

 

Apart from wrangles within the ruling party, the Constitution of Kenya Review Commission (CKRC) is dogged with uncertainty. On August 30, High Court judge Justice Richard Kuloba issued orders purportedly barring the commission from carrying on with its work of drafting the constitution.

 

But in a surprise turn of events, Commission Chairman Yash Pal Ghai and Secretary Patrick Lumumba declined to sign the orders, claiming they were different from the ones Kuloba issued. Said Lumumba: “While the order of August 30 restricts itself in matters relating to the judiciary, the other order purports to stop the deliberations of the commission in all its matters and business.”

 

The order was the result of a suit filed by lawyers Tom Kopere and John Njongoro, claiming that Ghai had already drafted a constitution and that the one currently being prepared is just a public relations exercise.

 

Observers saw this move as ill timed and aimed at scuttling Ghai’s promise to deliver the document by the middle of this month. In their suit, the two lawyers claimed that Ghai had involved a foreigner in the preparation of the draft and that the foreigner had suggested that all members of the judiciary be sacked and asked to reapply for their jobs.

 

The two lawyers argued that they would also lose their jobs if the judges were fired and produced the purported draft in court. Law Society of Kenya (LSK) Secretary George Kegoro challenged the order: “The judge should have asked the applicants to authenticate the document. Neither of the two lawyers works for the commission or Ghai. Neither could presumably have had legitimate access to the document.”

 

Kegoro added that the Review Act does not bar the commission from hiring foreigners. Needless to say, the suit and the subsequent court order are a violation of the Review Act. The Act states in part: “A commissioner or the secretary shall not be liable to any civil action or suit in respect to any matter done in good faith as a commissioner or secretary.”

 

Nairobi advocate Otieno Oluoch argues that the suit had no legal basis. “In law, public interest takes precedence over private interest,” he says. “But the two applicants were driven by private interests and were bound to fail.” Oluoch further argues that the two applicants and their lawyer committed a criminal act by altering the original contents of the order.

 

But he says that any court order has to be obeyed; hence, Ghai’s refusal to sign it was also a criminal act. Later, another High Court Judge Justice Andrew Hayanga ruled that the CKRC can continue with its work but should not make any recommendations on the judiciary. But any draft constitution that does not touch on the judiciary will not be of much help to the public.

 

As debate raged on the court order, government critics saw President Moi’s hand in the whole affair. It is instructive that the president has always discredited the commission and its work. Last month, he declined an invitation from the commission to go and present his views, arguing that he was being called at the eleventh hour “when the constitution had already been written.”

 

Also baffling is the last minute cancellation of the swearing in of Dr Andronico Adede, who was appointed as a commissioner to replace the late First Vice- chairman Dr Oki Ombaka. Chief Justice Bernard Chunga failed to turn up for the swearing in ceremony, which was to take place in Mombasa last month. Consequently, the position, which was to be filled urgently, remains vacant to date.

ENDS

 

 

3. Mungiki: outlawed cult becomes a strong political force

 

By Fred Oluoch

 

As Kenya approaches the significant transitional elections scheduled for December of this year, earlier fears of unprecedented violence have been exacerbated by what appears to the government’s encouragement of a controversial and outlawed religious-cum-cultural outfit: Mungiki.

 

Initially dismissed as an eccentric and retrogressive group out to revive discarded cultural practices, Mungiki, is now emerging as a powerful political force, despite having been proscribed six months ago.

 

The sect, which espouses the return to long-discarded Kikuyu religious and cultural practices including female circumcision, first captured Kenyans’ attention in early 1999 when its gruesome oathing ceremonies, forcible circumcision of women, and other activities came out into the open.

 

Within a short time the group, whose members are recognisable by their dreadlock hairstyles and snuff-taking practices, were taking over the operation of public transport routes all over the country, as well as conducting daring raids on police stations in an attempt to free some of its members arrested for various activities.

 

Last month, the group caused a major stir in Kenya’s capital, Nairobi, when 3,000 of its members marched through the city streets in support of leading presidential contender Uhuru Kenyatta – President Moi’s choice of presidential successor – and threatening anybody opposed to Kenyatta with dire consequences.

 

Suspicions of official endorsement are high. In March of this year, Mungiki members were linked to a massacre in which 23 people were killed in an area of Nairobi called Kariobangi. It was reported that the police did not respond to advanced information that the violence – which many said was election-related – would take place. The group was subsequently banned. However, the group was allowed to disrupt business in the city last month as policemen and other law enforcement agencies freely mixed with the marchers.

 

Although Kenyatta – the son of Kenya’s first president, the late Mzee Jomo Kenyatta – distanced himself from the group, there is the enduring perception that the group has come in handy politically.

 

The government is now hard-pressed to deny claims that it using the group to intimidate those opposed to President Moi’s well-crafted succession game plan. The irony is that while the outlawed group was allowed to hold demonstrations, some registered political parties have had their licensed rallies dispersed on the grounds of preaching anti-government sentiments.

 

Either by design or coincidence, local political observers concur that the group, said to comprise of 4.5 million members, is a worthy tool to any politician searching for a solid voting block and to intimidate his or her rivals.

 

According to Ndura Waruinge, the group’s national co-ordinator, Mungiki has collected about Ksh800 million (US$10 million) to sponsor their candidates in 150 out of Kenya’s 210 elective constituencies. Waruinge, who maintains that Kenya is ripe for a youthful revolution – hence the presences of Mungiki – boasts that the group’s ultimate aim it to collect a whooping Ksh3 billion ($38 million).

 

After almost two years of intermittent clashes with the police, Kenyans were somewhat surprised when the government stopped interfering with the group’s activities towards the end of last year and allowed them to operate with impunity, even when they engaged in activities that were openly threatening public order.

 

Their daring activities sparked off speculations that powerful forces in Central province were sponsoring the group for political expedience. Whatever the case, the government’s change of tactic towards the group is conspicuous, raising fears that KANU somewhere along the way realised that the trepidation-generating group could be used to coax those opposed to its rule into line.

 

Its emergence, its adherents claim, sprung from simultaneous “visions” experienced by some of its spiritual leaders, who allege that God sent them to “redeem” Kenyan society from the shackles of modernism and foreign cultural invasion.

 

To its critics, the group is simply an attempt to revive the Kikuyu nationalism that died with the freedom-fighting outfit, the Mau Mau, shortly before Kenya’s independence in 1963. The populous Kikuyu, who led Kenya’s first government through the late president Jomo Kenyatta, has been grousing that they have been victimised by the Moi government for the last 24 years and will do all it can to reclaim power.

 

A tall order, yet impeccable sources argue that this is possible given that the group does not only comprise of unkempt, snuff-taking, unemployed youth, but highly respectable politicians, civil servants, and businessmen who are said to support the group clandestinely. As it, it is not easy to tell who is a Mungiki and who is not.

 

Several of its members have since been arraigned in court for administering oaths binding them to the sect’s ideals and practices.

 

The group sprung into the limelight in 1987 in Rift Valley’s Nakuru District, when claims of illegal oaths by an amorphous group started trickling into the mainstream media, with various area politicians pointing fingers at each other over who was responsible.

 

The outfit does not shy away from using violence if it is, in their view, “when fighting evil.” To them, “evil” is the prevalent Western/Christian leaning, which they say, has corrupted Kenyan society. Mungiki has adamantly refused to seek registration on the grounds that it is a religious and cultural organisation that does not require a licence to operate.

 

Fears that the group is essentially a political outfit stem from the fact that their rallies involve military-like practices including parades, marches, and guards of honour, which the group’s leadership maintains is meant to instil discipline.

 

However, as they seek to distance themselves from anything Western and Christian, the group on the other hand “baptises” new members with water and uses incense, practices prevalent in both Christianity and Islam.

 

What was equally surprising is that the group immediately picked up President Moi’ rallying call that he will hand over power to the youth when he officially retires late this year.

 

Mungiki’s leadership has been persistently calling for all old guard politicians to step aside for the youth to enter the scene. Waruinge, however, denies any linkage between their call and the president’s push for a younger successor.

 

It is still debatable whether the group is working in tandem with powerful forces that are supporting the government, or has simply picked the president’s “Young Turks” theme to be on the government’s good books after years of hostile relationship with the authorities.

 

Indeed, it is this hostility that forced one of its top leaders to convert to Islam in September 2000, in a move that was ostensibly meant to stem the government’s crackdown on the group.

 

While its objective, ideology, and origin remain shrouded in mystery, one thing is clear: Mungiki will be a major factor in Kenya’s forthcoming presidential elections.

ENDS

 

 

Part II: Events

 

1. Glossary of Terms

 

All throughout the chronology and updates are sprinkled acronyms referring to various committees, commissions, political movements, etc. Here, we spell out these acronyms and provide some brief background information.

 

CKRC = Constitution of Kenya Review Commission. Chaired by Prof. Yash Pal Ghai, the 27-member group collects the views of a wide cross-section of Kenyan groups and individuals. The commission is supposed to present Kenyans with a new constitution on October 4.

 

PSCCR = Parliamentary Select Committee on Constitutional Review. Chaired by Raila Odinga, Minister of Energy, the committee monitors the work of the Constitution of Kenya Review Commission (CKRC).

 

KANU = Kenya African National Union, the party that has ruled Kenya since independence. Daniel arap Moi is the president of Kenya.

 

NAC = National Alliance for Change. This is a grouping of the Democratic Party, FORD-Kenya, National Party of Kenya (NPK), FORD-Asili, the unregistered Saba Saba Asili, SPARK, and several advocacy groups. The group is striving to field one presidential candidate.

 

NAK = the National Alliance (Party) of Kenya. This is the overarching political party that NAC has recently formed.

 

KPC = Kenya People's Coalition. This is a grouping of FORD-People, Safina, the Labour Party of Kenya, and the National Convention Executive Council (NCEC).

 

MPs = Members of Parliament. Currently, the House contains a total of 224 MPs (including two ex-officio members)

 

 

2. Chronology

 

 August 16- The fight over Kanu's choice for the presidency moves from the party's bigwigs in the city to the branches. The battleground is now over control of the delegates whose votes will decide which candidate will fight for State House. But instead of the national grassroots elections demanded by some party members since 1988 - when the last were held - once again only piecemeal polls will take place.

 

This time they will be held in those areas where the merger between Kanu and the defunct National Development Party has not be deemed a success.

In many cases the old Kanu and NDP officials continue to bicker over who exactly really represents the branch. The places where the polls will be held will be decided by a Kanu committee headed by one of the party's leading contenders for the presidential nomination, Mr Raila Odinga.

 

August 17- Kanu has taken to the Ghai Commission its campaign for a new structure of government and the creation of a Prime Minister's post. Top officials of the party yesterday urged the Kenya Constitutional Review Commission to reduce the powers of the president to prevent any ethnic group feeling insecure if their man or woman was not in power

 

The party's proposals were presented to the team headed by Prof Yash Pal Ghai by Kanu secretary-general Raila Odinga, its Secretary for Constitutional and Legal Affairs, Mr Otieno Kajwang', a member of the party's committee on constitutional reforms, Mr Mohammed Affey and consultant Prof Henry Mwanzi.

The party wants provinces and local authorities granted more autonomy, with provincial councils made up of a chief executive, a running mate and two elected representatives from every district. 

 

Presidential candidates should have running mates who should automatically assume the office of the vice-president. Presidential candidates should not run for Parliamentary seats, Kanu said, which means that all presidential election losers would be locked out of Parliament. This would be a departure from the present system where the President appoints the VP from among MPs and names him along with the Cabinet, and where the Head of State is also an MP.

MPs should be given the power to impeach any president who grossly violates the constitution, Kanu said. .

 

August 18 – The National Alliance Party of Kenya (NAK) promises to name its presidential candidate within 10 days.

 

The Electoral Commission of Kenya says that members of the police force, the military, and the National Youth Service serving away from their constituencies can vote at their workstations.

 

August 19-  KANU Secretary General Raila Odinga threatens to boycott the party’s presidential nominations if they are held by acclamation and not secret ballot.

 

Vice President George Saitoti takes his presidential nomination campaign to Limuru, where he was re-appointed three years ago after the post had been vacant for 14 months.

 

August 20-  Opposition parties support KANU over the proposed creation of a Prime Minister’s post in a new constitutional order.

 

Rainbow Alliance plan to meet in a week’s time to review progress made in their quest for free and fair KANU presidential nominations. Raila denies that some members of the Alliance are planning to pull out.

 

August 21-  The outlawed Mungiki sect yesterday held demonstrations in Nairobi streets in support of KANU presidential nomination hopeful Uhuru Kenyatta. The sect members were armed with dangerous weapons but police mixed freely with them, raising speculations that they were sponsored by the government.

 

Rainbow Alliance members met yesterday to consider rallying behind a single candidate for KANU’s presidential nominations.

 

August 22- Cabinet minister Nicholas Biwott is now the patron of the Kanu Action Group that replaces the controversial Youth for Kanu '92 lobby that was scrapped after the 1997 General Election. The powerful Trade and Industry minister is expected to spearhead and bankroll the operations of the group, formed two weeks ago to onstensibly campaign for presidential hopeful Uhuru Kenyatta.

And with the elections of other office bearers on Wednesday evening at a city hotel, the lobby announced that it is all systems go for a high profile campaign for president Moi's preferred successor.

 

Mr Micah Kigen, a Nairobi businessman and close associate of Mr Biwott, was elected chairman in an event devoid of the high pomp and pageantry that accompanied the launch of the YK '92 in 1992 at a city hotel. Nairobi Gynaecologist and beauty pageant organiser Dr John Nyamu was elected as the 1st Vice chairman of the group, along with Mr Patrick Obara . The treasurer of the group will be Mr Kenneth Wanjohi, to be deputised by Mr Piush Shah, a Nairobi accountant. Mr Fred Amayo, son of former Karachounyo MP and chairman of the infamous Kanu Disciplinary Committee chairman Mr Okiki Amayo was elected as lobby's secretary general , while a Ms Hadija was elected as his deputy.

 

August 23- Presidential aspirant Uhuru Kenyatta has disowned Mungiki, saying the banned sect did not win his heart in their purported move to support his presidential aspirations. In a sharp response to questions by the Press over Mungiki's role in his campaign for presidential nomination, Mr Kenyatta said that his hope lay in the 10.5 million voters.

 

The denunciation by the son of Kenya's first President Mzee Jomo Kenyatta, comes two days after hordes of armed Mungiki followers demonstrated in Nairobi streets, disrupting normal activity as police and other law enforcement agents idled by.

 

The Local Government minister said that he had no link with Mungiki, adding that not every group that goes in the street would be said to support him. He quipped: "How many people run up and down the Nairobi streets shouting abc?" Then he turned to the members of the press: "The press has been showing as if I have been supporting them... they recently were busy burning my effigy in front of my father's mausoleum."

 

 President Moi confirmed yesterday that elections will be held in December with or without a new constitution.

 

August 24-  Scores of people were injured yesterday when police stopped a demonstration in support of a Kanu faction, the Rainbow Alliance. The demonstrators were cornered and clubbed at Nairobi's Uhuru Park. Several were arrested, but later released without charge or recording statements. The protesters, who are opposed to the Uhuru-for-President campaign, engaged the police in running battles for four hours in the city centre.

 

The demonstration started after police broke up a meeting of about 200 people at Uhuru Park. A furious battle spilled into the city centre and Upper Hill.

The Rainbow Alliance brings together Vice-President George Saitoti and Cabinet Ministers Raila Odinga, Musalia Mudavadi and Kalonzo Musyoka among other politicians opposed to President Moi's campaign for Local Government Minister Uhuru Kenyatta.

 

In a quick reaction, Mr Odinga and Cabinet Minister William Ntimama condemned the police action. "This is the most primitive and cowardly act by police," Mr Odinga said. Mr Ntimama backed Mr Odinga's sentiments.

 

August 25- The National Alliance Party of Kenya (NAK) yesterday claimed it was the only group with a competent and credible leadership to help restore the country after decades of KANU’s misrule.  Its leaders said they ask voters to reject KANU and allow them bring back good economic management.

 

The Rainbow Alliance leaders yesterday answered their critics, declaring themselves true and original KANU followers. Speaking a day after president Moi publicly questioned their motives, the leaders rejected the notion that they were either spoilers or had formed a splinter party within KANU.

 

KANU said yesterday that its grassroots polls would be held in September but maintained that the polls would only be held in a few branches.

 

August 26- Vice-President George Saitoti yesterday seemed to be developing cold feet over his membership of the Rainbow Alliance. He told his supporters that he would not associate with party members who showed disrespect to the Head of state by abusing him over his Uhuru-for-president campaign.

 

Leaders yesterday criticized president Moi for turning down an invitation to give his views to the Constitution of Kenya Review Commission. NAK coordinating committee chairman Dr Noah Wekesa, Nyeri MP Wanyiri Kihoro and his Kasarani counterpart Adolf Muchiri said it was in bad faith for president Moi to say he was not consulted by the review team in time to give his views.

                               

 August 27- Public inspection of voters' registers opened to a low turn-out yesterday. The Electoral Commission of Kenya distributed the registers to district coordination centres to enable voters to confirm whether their names and other details appear correctly. The names of voters who are now dead will be deleted from the register.

 

Voters with complaints of misspelt names, wrong identity card numbers or other erroneous details have the next 13 days to correct the anomalies.

Those who may have registered more than once now have a chance to have their multiple registration deleted.

 

In Nairobi, only 13 people had visited the election coordinator's office when we made a spot-check at 12.45pm. Mr Rita Mwera appealed to the public to turn out for the inspection to avoid last-minute disappointments.

 

August 28- KANU Director of Elections yesterday challenged Vice President George Saitoti to resign for leading a rebellion within the party. He charged that the Vice President was misusing state resources to campaign for the “opposition Rainbow Alliance while masquerading as a KANU member.

 

Francis Karani, a KANU member sues to have the party’s delegates conference that will nominate the presidential candidate stopped. He also seeks the annulment of KANU’s March 18 merger with the National Development Party of Kenya (NDP). But KANU’s Secretary for Legal and Constitutional Affairs otieno Kajwang says the suit has no legal basis as the merger was done according to the two parties’ constitutions, and the resolutions adopted are irreversible.

 

August 29-  The Catholic Church yesterday warned the president to uphold democracy and fair play in the nomination campaign. In a statement endorsed by 26 bishops, the chairman of the Kenya Episcopal Conference Archbishop John Njue said that the choice should be made independent of family connections, tribal affiliations, any form of hereditary claim or imposition by powerful groups or individuals.

 

President Moi yesterday challenged members of the Rainbow Alliance to name their candidate who will challenge his preferred choice. He said the alliance was busy wrangling over a presidential nominee while time was running out.

 

 August 30- A group of protestant churches yesterday offered to oversee political party elections to ensure fairness. The National Council of Churches of Kenya said it was ready to put in place systems to help parties conduct free and fair elections. The offer by the council follows a plea by Kanu presidential aspirants allied to the Rainbow Alliance that their party's nominations be supervised by an independent body.

 

Kanu Secretary-General Raila Odinga argued that the elections could only be fair if they were conducted through secret ballot and supervised by non-partisan individuals. NCCK also resolved to press for the funding of strong political parties.

 

Conflict within the ruling party Kanu was dramatically highlighted yesterday with the resignation of one of the Vice President's staunchest allies, assistant minister Mathews Adams Karauri. Mr Karauri, who stressed that VP Prof George Saitoti remained a close friend, walked away from his education docket and embraced the Ford People party of Mr Simeon Nyachae, saying he was not willing to continue "knocking my head on the wall in the Rainbow Alliance". Kanu diehard Julius Sunkuli reacted immediately by claiming the defection was only to be expected.

 

The Cabinet minister in the Office of the President said Mr Karauri's views were different from those of the majority in Kanu - and he added: "This is a clear indication that the Rainbow Alliance is composed of people who will decamp to the opposition."

 

August 31- George Saitoti who was sacked as vice president yesterday said he would continue to fight within the party. His Home Affairs docket was given to William Ruto while the vice presidency remained vacant.

 

 

Rainbow Alliance leaders declare themselves true and original KANU followers. “We are deeply rooted in KANU and are not a faction within the ruling party,” said Vice-President George Saitoti. “Our position is that KANU should give every leader an equal opportunity to seek the party’s nomination to contest the presidency.” The leaders were responding to President Moi’s comments that questioned their motives.

 

The National Alliance Party of Kenya (NAK) launches its campaign in Rift Valley Province with an appeal to voters to give it a chance to rebuild the country. Twenty-two MPs, led by FORD-Kenya leader Wamalwa Kijana, DP head Mwai Kibaki, and National Party of Kenya boss Charity Ngilu, ask voters to reject KANU and allow them to bring back good economic management after decades of “KANU’s misrule.”


 September 1 - The power struggle in Kanu reached fever pitch yesterday, a day after the sacking of Vice-President George Saitoti.

The Rainbow Alliance, of which Prof Saitoti is a leading member, shrugged off his sacking as "inconsequential" and pressed on with their campaign in President Moi's home turf of Rift Valley.  Breathing defiance and expressing determination to wrest the Kanu presidential nomination from the President's preferred successor, Mr Uhuru Kenyatta, alliance supporters violently clashed with those of Mr Kenyatta at 64 Stadium, Eldoret.

 

The Ghai commission reacted with muted defiance to the shock decision by a High Court judge to stop the review process, which was greeted with protests across the country. Chairman Yash Pal Ghai is reported to be determined to continue with writing the new constitution, at the risk of arrest for contempt of court and despite threatening calls to staff that they risk being arrested if they defy the court order.

 

 September 2- Kanu's much-awaited Kasarani meeting will be held to endorse Mr Uhuru Kenyatta's candidacy and not to hold nominations, it was confirmed yesterday. The party's director of elections, Mr William Ruto, said the Rainbow Alliance was wasting its time criss-crossing the country seeking support since Mr Kenyatta's candidacy had already been decided. "We are going to Kasarani to endorse Mr Kenyatta and those criss-crossing the country under the umbrella of the Rainbow Alliance are wasting their time. There will be nobody to vote for or against," said Mr Ruto. He said Kasarani II would mark the beginning of Mr Kenyatta's campaign. The Home Affairs minister was speaking in Kisii, where he expressed confidence that Mr Kenyatta would be Kenya's next President."illegal", "wrong", "inappropriate", and a "conspiracy".

 

The decision by a High Court judge to stop the writing of the new constitution is politically motivated, the Catholic Church said yesterday. The ruling is intended to derail the new constitution, said Archbishop John Njue, the chairman of the Kenya Episcopal Conference. He said Mr Justice Richard Kuloba, who made the ruling, was being used by political forces operating behind the scenes. "This is like a beetle which moves a ball of cow dung. You only see the ball of cow dung moving but behind it is the invisible beetle pushing it. This is exactly what is happening with the ruling," the prelate said.

 

President Moi has relieved Prof George Saitoti of his vice-presidential and ministerial appointments.

 

September 3 – CKRC head Yash Pal Ghai risks six months in jail if he disobeys court orders stopping him from writing Kenya’s new constitution. This warning is contained in a formal order extracted by Nairobi lawyer Fred Ngatia. Ghai has been named jointly with the CKRC as defendants in a lawsuit levied by two lawyers on August 30.

 

Religious leaders and 16 MPs demand the appointment of a vice-president to avoid chaos should anything happen to President Moi. The NAK went as far as to say that Leader of the Official Opposition Mwai Kibaki should be appointed as acting president in President Moi’s absence.

 

The long-standing friendship between DP Chairman Mwai Kibaki and MP Njenga Karume may have come to an end following Karume’s announcement that he would support Uhuru Kenyatta’s bid to succeed President Moi.

 

September 4 – CKRC head Prof. Yash Pal Ghai refuses to sign the court order barring his commission from continuing to write a draft constitution. He and commission secretary Patrick Lumumba did not accept service when they notice what they describe as “glaring differences” between the order issued by Mr. Justice Richard Kuloba and the one taken to them by a court worker. PSCCR chair Raila Odinga asks to have the order reversed, saying that courts have no jurisdiction over the review.

 

September 5 – Following a series of secret meetings with powerful KANU operatives, Musalia Mudavadi announces that he has quit the Rainbow Alliance to back Uhuru Kenyatta’s campaign to succeed President Moi. Raila Odinga immediately denounces Mudavadi’s decision as “a vile act of betrayal.” Kalonzo Musyoka, another Rainbow Alliance member, vows not to withdraw as well.

 

The High Court refuses to lift an order filed by the CKRC’s lawyer to set aside Mr. Justice Richard Kuloba’s judgement stopping the CKRC and its chairman, Prof. Yash Pal Ghai, from reviewing the Constitution of Kenya. Meanwhile, the Legal Affairs Parliamentary Committee says that the CKRC should the lawsuit filed against it. The committee says the case has no legal basis. “This case has not come as an accident,” says Imenti South MP Kiraitu Murungi, speaking on behalf of the 11-member committee. “The courts are being misused by some forces in the executive to frustrate all the reforms in the country.”

 

Police arrest four Mungiki sect followers suspected to be administering oaths in Laikipia District. Residents of Ng’arua division are complaining that many of them are being forced to take an oath binding them to Mungiki ideals and practices. They are also allegedly being forced to promise “not to betray” Cabinet Minister Uhuru Kenyatta, President Moi’s choice of successor.

 

September 6- Constitution Review chairman Yash Pal Ghai has been accused of committing contempt of court by refusing to suspend the writing of Kenya's new constitution.  Two lawyers seeking to stop the review warned yesterday they would sue Prof Ghai and Commission secretary P.L.O Lumumba for refusing to heed a High Court ordered issued last Friday.

 

The lawyers have asked the court not to give the commission a hearing as they challenged the ruling, saying the commissioners had not complied with it.

"Since they cannot be physically restrained from contempt, it is only fair that they are not heard until the contempt is purged," the lawyers said.  On Friday Justice Kuloba ordered the Commission, which was set up by Parliament, to stop all its operations following claims by lawyers Tom K'Opere and Mr John M. Njongoro that the review team had breached the Act which set it up. They said Prof Ghai had already written a draft constitution with the help of a South African and that the Commission intended to disband the judiciary, endangering their work as lawyers.

 

September 7- Two lawyers seeking to stop the review warned yesterday they would sue Prof Ghai and Commission secretary P.L.O Lumumba for refusing to heed a High Court ordered issued last Friday. The lawyers have asked the court not to give the commission a hearing as they challenged the ruling, saying the commissioners had not complied with it.

.
The knives were out between rival factions within Kanu yesterday, as the Rainbow Alliance gave its clearest hint to date that it was seeking a partnership with other political parties. Cabinet minister William ole Ntimama told a rally in Ngong Town that Alliance leaders "must talk to all Kenyans to fight injustice and humiliation".  And he added: "Mr Mwai Kibaki and Mr Simeon Nyachae are Kenyans and we will talk to them."

 

His comment came as the Uhuru-for-President campaign team prepared for a major rally to promote their man in the Rift Valley, heart of their main power base.

Outside broadcasting vans from the state-owned Kenya Broadcasting Corporation were being moved into place near the Afraha Stadium, Nakuru, in readiness for a rally led by President Moi to campaign for his protege, Mr Kenyatta.

 

 September 8- President Moi yesterday kicked off his campaign for his chosen heir, Uhuru Kenyatta in the Rift Valley town of Nakuru. The rally, at Afraha Stadium, was attended by 20 cabinet ministers, 66MPs and six District Commissioners. The public funded Kenya Broadcasting Corporation (KBC) gave a live coverage to the rally.

 

Foreign Affairs Assistant Minister Peter Odoyo yesterday told Uhuru Kenyatta to quit the presidential nomination race or have nasty things about him revealed. Odoyo threatened to expose what Kenyatta did when he was a university student in Boston, USA.

 

September 9-  NAK yesterday demanded that all presidential candidates undergo a medical test to determine whether they were fit to rule. Alliance leaders Mwai Kibaki, Wamalwa Kijana, Charity Ngilu and SDP factional leader Prof. Peter Anyang Nyongo claimed one of the candidates for the country’s top post was in questionable health and should not be entrusted with power.

 

The National Council of Churches of Kenya (NCCK) wants a government of national unity to serve as an interim authority for five years after the general election. The move would allow the unification of an “otherwise polarized country divided by ethnicity”.

 

September 10- Foreign Affairs Assistant Minister Peter Odoyo was yesterday sacked for threatening to expose bad things about Uhuru Kenyatta.

 

FORD- People presidential candidate Simeon Nyachae yesterday arrived in Mombasa to start a four day campaign at the Coast. He condemned the mismanagement of Coast people’s resources such as sugar and cashew nut factories.

 

September 11- High Court Judge Justice Andrew Hayanga yesterday allowed the Constitution of Kenya Review Commission to continue with its work of drafting the constitution but restrained it from referring to the recommendations about the judiciary.

 

The National Alliance Party of Kenya (NAK) yesterday said it would  finally name its presidential candidate on 18 September at the party’s national convention. The announcement was made by Election Board Chairman David Welime.

 

September 12- The Electoral Commission of Kenya (ECK) yesterday threatened legal action to force the Kenya Broadcasting Corporation (KBC) to give all candidates equal and fair coverage. This followed complaints that KBC was giving more coverage to Uhuru Kenyatta. The Commission said KBC was contravening the Inter-parties Parliamentary Group (IPPG) reforms on elections, which require KBC to give political parties equal airtime during elections.

 

Members of the Rainbow Alliance were yesterday attacked by Uhuru Kenyatta’s supporters when they went for a rally in Thika. The alliance members were caught up in a stone throwing battle between Kenyatta’s supporters and the students from the Jomo Kenyattta University of Agriculture and technology (JKUAT) who were waiting for Energy Minister Raila Odinga to address them.

 

September 13-KANu and opposition parties yesterday united in a call to the electoral commissioners term to be extended. Party representatives expressed concern over lack of legal protection for the officials during a consultative meeting with the commissioners. Half of the 21 member Commission’s term expires next month.

 

Education Assistant Minister Orwa Ojode yesterday said KANU could disintegrate before the general election should the party’s presidential nominations be rigged. He said the party’s future would depend on how it conducts itself at the presidential nominations.

 

September 14- Information and Tourism minister Kalonzo Musyoka yesterday supported calls that the General Election be held under the aegis of a new constitution. He said alliance members wanted a strengthened party devoid of trickery on the way to the presidential nominations.

 

NAK leaders led by Mwai Kibaki and Kijana Wamalwa yesterday said they would seek ties with the Rainbow Alliance to defeat KANU in the forthcoming general elections. They were speaking at a rally in the boarder town of Busia.

 

September 15- A meeting of Luo elders yesterday bitterly criticized president Moi, accusing him of reneging on a secret promise to hand over power to Raila Odinga. The elders mandated Odinga to chart out a new course for the community, including abandoning KANU. The more than 500 elders from all constituencies in Luo Nyanza claimed that contrary to denials, Moi had actually promised to hand over leadership to Odinga, following a series of secret meetings with elders and MPs.

 

NAK yesterday pledged to form a government of national unity that would incorporate all ethnic groups and take care of their needs. They accused KANU of balkanizing the country along ethnic lines.